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Table 1 Model comparison in the simulation study under evaluation metrics

From: Spatiotemporal reproduction number with Bayesian model selection for evaluation of emerging infectious disease transmissibility: an application to COVID-19 national surveillance data

Evaluation

Generation time weight

Model averaging

Metric

Weight 1

Weight 2

Weight 3

Weight 4

DIC

WAIC

CPO

Bias

0.108

0.196

0.391

0.114

0.206

0.211

0.208

MSE

0.106

0.347

1.867

0.113

0.355

0.397

0.380

DIC

2249.569

2275.080

2287.286

2255.629

2275.299

-

-

WAIC

2223.215

2249.102

2260.929

2232.264

-

2251.752

-

CPO

63.675

61.797

60.647

63.670

 

-

62.532