Evaluation and comparison of spatial cluster detection methods for improved decision making of disease surveillance: a case study of national dengue surveillance in Thailand

Rotejanaprasert, Chawarat; Chinpong, Kawin; Lawson, Andrew B.; Chienwichai, Peerut; Maude, Richard J.

doi:10.1186/s12874-023-02135-9

Table 1 Evaluation measures of the all cluster detection methods under different scenarios

From: Evaluation and comparison of spatial cluster detection methods for improved decision making of disease surveillance: a case study of national dengue surveillance in Thailand

Scenario	Detection method	Evaluation metric
Scenario	Detection method	Accuracy	Sensitivity	Specificity	PPV	NPV
1	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.95039	-	0.95039	-	1
	Local Moran1	0.976169	-	0.976169	-	1
	Local Moran2	0.951429	-	0.951429	-	1
	SaTScan	0.992727	-	0.992727	-	1
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.970584	-	0.970584	-	0.995
	BYM (q = 1)	0.996429	-	0.996429	-	1
2	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.970519	0.891905	1	1	0.96111
	Local Moran1	0.97013	0.890476	1	1	0.960633
	Local Moran2	0.967662	0.890476	0.996607	0.990401	0.9605
	SaTScan	0.999351	0.997857	0.999911	0.999773	0.999211
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.962792	1	0.948839	0.885957	1
	BYM (q = 1)	0.964091	1	0.950625	0.889646	1
3	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.911234	0.745789	0.965431	0.875372	0.920933
	Local Moran1	0.936753	0.745789	0.99931	0.997508	0.923417
	Local Moran2	0.933831	0.745789	0.995431	0.982776	0.923133
	SaTScan	0.973766	0.998947	0.965517	0.904667	0.999649
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.945065	1	0.927069	0.821923	1
	BYM (q = 1)	0.950714	0.999737	0.934655	0.838143	0.999909
4	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.894675	0.0425	0.9174	0.013774	0.972912
	Local Moran1	0.942532	0	0.967667	0	0.97317
	Local Moran2	0.926818	0.06	0.949933	0.043964	0.974267
	SaTScan	0.98474	0.9525	0.9856	0.701778	0.99875
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.91013	0.875	0.911067	0.337468	0.99675
	BYM (q = 1)	0.981883	1	0.9814	0.672857	1
5	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.876948	0.035	0.961143	0.070917	0.908764
	Local Moran1	0.901364	0	0.9915	0	0.908372
	Local Moran2	0.903052	0.086429	0.984714	0.320417	0.915155
	SaTScan	0.990519	0.905714	0.999	0.990853	0.990706
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.953052	0.987143	0.949643	0.681104	0.998668
	BYM (q = 1)	0.95961	0.994286	0.956143	0.71302	0.999411
6	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.722013	0.341552	0.951875	0.807933	0.70567
	Local Moran1	0.751558	0.340345	1	1	0.715452
	Local Moran2	0.765	0.376897	0.999479	0.997831	0.726975
	SaTScan	0.954481	0.961552	0.950208	0.921588	0.976534
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.951104	1	0.921563	0.887697	1
	BYM (q = 1)	0.959091	0.999828	0.934479	0.904844	0.999894
7	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.464416	0.161771	0.965345	0.888718	0.410539
	Local Moran1	0.475584	0.15875	1	1	0.418321
	Local Moran2	0.505649	0.207083	0.999828	0.9995	0.43277
	SaTScan	0.818377	0.812813	0.827586	0.891381	0.752451
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.954221	1	0.878448	0.932773	1
	BYM (q = 1)	0.960714	1	0.89569	0.941899	1
Overall	Getis Ord \({G}_{i}^{*}\)	0.806634	0.369753	0.960199	0.609452	0.813321
	Local Moran1	0.829654	0.355893	0.99308	0.666251	0.816561
	Local Moran2	0.833669	0.394446	0.987665	0.722482	0.822133
	SaTScan	0.953539	0.938231	0.954637	0.901673	0.952883
	BESAG (q = 1)	0.946061	0.977024	0.922771	0.75782	0.999236
	BYM (q = 1)	0.962684	0.998975	0.942165	0.826735	0.999869

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ISSN: 1471-2288

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