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Table 2 Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of unlinked data in identifying incident fall-related hip fractures

From: Linked versus unlinked hospital discharge data on hip fractures for estimating incidence and comorbidity profiles

 

Linked data

Unlinked data

Unlinked data

Unlinked data

Unlinked data

Unlinked data

 

Ref standard

Base case

Scenario 1

Scenario 2

Scenario 3

Scenario 4

No hip fractures

N=10,110

N=11,110

N=11,746

N=11,056

N=10,173

N=10,765

Overestimation

NA

9.9%

16.2%

9.4%

0.6%

6.5%

Sensitivity

 

94.4% (94.0–94.9)

99.8% (99.7–99.9)

94.4% (93.9–94.8)

94.4% (93.9–94.8)

99.7% (99.6–99.8)

Specificity

 

97.5% (97.4–97.6)

97.4% (97.2–97.5)

97.6% (97.5–97.7)

99.0% (98.9–99.1)

98.9% (98.8–99.0)

PPV

 

85.9% (85.3–86.6)

85.9% (85.2–86.5)

86.3% (85.7–87.0)

93.8% (93.3–94.3)

93.7% (93.2–94.1)

NPV

 

99.1% (99.0–99.2)

100.0% (99.9–100.0)

99.0% (99.0–99.2)

99.1% (99.0–99.2)

100.0% (99.9–100.0)

  1. Note values are percentages (95% confidence intervals) unless stated otherwise. True negatives were community-dwelling Victorian population aged 65+ years hospitalised for fall-related injury other than a hip fracture between 2005/06 and 2007/08.
  2. NA – Not applicable. PPV – Positive predictive value. NPV – Negative predictive value. CI – confidence intervals.