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Table 3 Means and 95 % confidence intervals of AUCs (%) for four readmission risk modelling approaches

From: Comparison of predictive modeling approaches for 30-day all-cause non-elective readmission risk

 

Fitting

Validating

 

Mean

95 % CI

Mean

95 % CI

Fitting/validating data ~ 2,500

 LACE

65.3

(63.0, 67.5)

65.1

(62.8, 67.3)

 STEPWISE

73.3

(70.3, 76.3)

68.6

(65.7, 71.6)

 LASSO

75.1

(71.0, 79.1)

70.3

(68.0, 72.7)

 AdaBoost

82.9

(81.0, 84.8)

67.6

(65.0, 70.3)

Fitting/validating data ~ 5,000

 LACE

64.7

(63.1, 66.3)

64.6

(62.9, 66.2)

 STEPWISE

72.3

(70.5, 74.2)

69.0

(67.4, 70.5)

 LASSO

73.9

(71.4, 76.3)

70.3

(69.0, 71.7)

 AdaBoost

77.9

(76.8, 79.1)

69.4

(67.8, 70.9)

Fitting/validating data ~ 20,000

 LACE

65.2

(64.5, 66.0)

65.3

(64.5, 66.0)

 STEPWISE

74.2

(73.4, 75.1)

73.2

(72.4, 74.0)

 LASSO

74.9

(74.0, 75.7)

73.5

(72.8, 74.3)

 AdaBoost

75.5

(74.7, 76.2)

73.5

(72.8, 74.3)

Fitting/validating data ~ 80,000

 LACE

65.6

(65.2, 65.9)

65.5

(65.2, 65.9)

 STEPWISE

74.0

(73.6, 74.4)

73.4

(73.0, 73.9)

 LASSO

74.3

(73.9, 74.7)

73.7

(73.3, 74.1)

 AdaBoost

74.2

(73.9, 74.6)

73.7

(73.3, 74.1)

  1. In STEPWISE, the threshold for entry and removal is p = 0.01. In LASSO, λ = λmin