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Table 3 Robustness of estimates against a decreasing trend of travel rates

From: A statistical method utilizing information of imported cases to estimate the transmissibility for an influenza pandemic

   r = 0.4% r = 0.8%
n Mean SD SE 95% CrI Mean SD SE 95% CrI
R 0  = 1.2 4 1.20 0.04 0.02 (1.16, 1.30) 1.20 0.04 0.03 (1.14, 1.28)
8 1.20 0.02 0.02 (1.16, 1.24) 1.20 0.02 0.02 (1.14, 1.25)
12 1.19 0.01 0.01 (1.17, 1.23) 1.18 0.02 0.01 (1.15, 1.22)
16 1.19 0.01 0.01 (1.17, 1.22) 1.18 0.01 0.01 (1.15, 1.22)
20 1.19 0.01 0.01 (1.17, 1.21) 1.18 0.01 0.01 (1.16, 1.21)
R 0  = 1.7 4 1.74 0.09 0.07 (1.61, 1.95) 1.75 0.1 0.07 (1.62, 1.97)
8 1.72 0.06 0.05 (1.62, 1.83) 1.73 0.06 0.05 (1.63, 1.88)
12 1.72 0.05 0.04 (1.64, 1.82) 1.73 0.05 0.04 (1.65, 1.83)
16 1.71 0.04 0.04 (1.64, 1.79) 1.72 0.04 0.04 (1.66, 1.81)
20 1.71 0.04 0.03 (1.66, 1.79) 1.72 0.03 0.03 (1.66, 1.79)
R 0  = 2.2 4 2.27 0.14 0.13 (2.03, 2.60) 2.29 0.16 0.13 (2.04, 2.65)
8 2.25 0.11 0.09 (2.08, 2.49) 2.27 0.1 0.09 (2.10, 2.48)
12 2.23 0.08 0.07 (2.09, 2.42) 2.25 0.08 0.07 (2.13, 2.42)
16 2.23 0.07 0.06 (2.11, 2.37) 2.26 0.07 0.06 (2.13, 2.41)
20 2.23 0.06 0.06 (2.12, 2.36) 2.26 0.06 0.06 (2.15, 2.39)
  1. n numbers of countries having imported cases, r daily decreasing rate of travels, SD Standard deviation of estimates in a simulation, SE Mean standard error of estimates in a simulation, 95% CrI 95% non-parametric credible intervals