Table 3 Estimated probability for fever treatment (mean and 95% Bayesian Credible Interval) at the nearest health facility
From: Treatment-seeking behaviour in low- and middle-income countries estimated using a Bayesian model
Region | Population estimate 2015a | Estimated mean malaria incidence per 1000 population in 2014b | Estimated Average travel time to nearest health facility (minutes) | Probability of using a dispensary or clinic for fever treatment mean (95% CI) | Probability of using a health centre for fever treatment mean (95% CI) | Probability of using a Regional or district hospital for fever treatment mean (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zambezi | 105,804 | 1.612 | 23.0 | 0.546 (0.369–0.671) | 0.537 (0.369–0.667) | 0.531 (0.369–0.661) |
Kavango | 259,984 | 1.467 | 29.7 | 0.513 (0.368–0.649) | 0.498 (0.368–0.633) | 0.503 (0.368–0.638) |
Ohangwena | 283,188 | 1.426 | 29.3 | 0.522 (0.368–0.650) | 0.494 (0.367–0.630) | 0.497 (0.368–0.632) |
Oshikoto | 210,881 | 1.256 | 37.3 | 0.504 (0.368–0.644) | 0.492 (0.367–0.633) | 0.496 (0.367–0.637) |
Otjozondjupa | 167,186 | 1.227 | 31.8 | 0.504 (0.368–0.643) | 0.486 (0.367–0.623) | 0.499 (0.368–0.637) |
Omusati | 281,050 | 1.131 | 35.6 | 0.513 (0.368–0.650) | 0.497 (0.367–0.637) | 0.498 (0.367–0.638) |
Omaheke | 82,441 | 1.126 | 38.3 | 0.490 (0.367–0.631) | 0.496 (0.367–0.637) | 0.493 (0.367–0.634) |
Oshana | 207,218 | 1.096 | 17.6 | 0.561 (0.369–0.677) | 0.545 (0.369–0.661) | 0.547 (0.369–0.663) |
Kunene | 102,986 | 0.967 | 146.4 | 0.433 (0.364–0.614) | 0.426 (0.364–0.608) | 0.429 (0.364–0.612) |
Khomasc | 418,742 | - | 43.9 | 0.487 (0.367–0.636) | 0.483 (0.367–0.631) | 0.482 (0.367–0.631) |
Karasc | 88,977 | - | 110.2 | 0.447 (0.365–0.619) | 0.440 (0.365–0.613) | 0.446 (0.365–0.618) |
Hardapc | 93,447 | - | 86.7 | 0.471 (0.366–0.628) | 0.470 (0.366–0.626) | 0.461 (0.366–0.616) |
Erongoc | 180,672 | - | 98.4 | 0.443 (0.365–0.620) | 0.440 (0.365–0.618) | 0.440 (0.365–0.617) |