Fig. 1From: Nonlinear joint models for individual dynamic prediction of risk of death using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo: application to metastatic prostate cancerCoverage probabilities of the 95% prediction intervals for PSA values (dotted lines) and risk of death (solid lines) for 4 values of landmark time s (months) and horizon times t>2 months in the 200 simulated patients. The 95% prediction intervals of the proportion 95% (grey areas) depend on the number of patients at risk which is indicated at bottom at each landmark time s Back to article page