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Table 2 Point estimates of the parameters of the deterministic ODE-based model obtained through a frequentist probabilistic calibration approach

From: A dynamic Bayesian Markov model for health economic evaluations of interventions in infectious disease

Parameter

Description

Point estimate

ω M H

Partner acquisition rate (high-risk males)

8.3515

ω M L

Partner acquisition rate (low-risk males)

2.4526

ω F H

Partner acquisition rate (high-risk females)

8.3836

ω F L

Partner acquisition rate (low-risk females)

1.6085

χ

Proliferation parameter

0.0100

β

STI transmission probability per partnership

0.1639

π 2,3

Transition parameter from state 2 to state 3

0.7957

π 3,4

Transition parameter from state 3 to state 4

0.0891

π 4,5

Transition parameter from state 4 to state 5

0.0232

π 1,5

Transition parameter from state 1 to state 5

0.0005

  1. The parameter set θ with the best fit to simulated data minimises the sum of squared errors