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Table 4 Comparison of performance of the HRnV models (based on 5-fold cross-validation), HEART, TIMI, and GRACE scores in predicting 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE). The cut-off values were defined as the points nearest to the upper-left corner on the ROC curves

From: Utilizing machine learning dimensionality reduction for risk stratification of chest pain patients in the emergency department

 

AUC (95% CI)

Cut-off

Sensitivity % (95% CI)

Specificity % (95% CI)

PPV % (95% CI)

NPV % (95% CI)

Stepwise

0.887 (0.859–0.916)

0.3140

79.4 (74.3–84.4)

78.8 (75.4–82.3)

62.8 (57.5–68.2)

89.4 (86.7–92.2)

PCA

0.899 (0.872–0.926)

0.2881

85.4 (81.0–89.8)

78.5 (75.0–81.9)

64.1 (59.0–69.3)

92.3 (89.9–94.7)

KPCA

0.896 (0.869–0.923)

0.3489

81.8 (77.0–86.6)

82.1 (78.9–85.3)

67.3 (62.0–72.6)

90.9 (88.4–93.4)

LSA

0.899 (0.872–0.926)

0.2884

85.4 (81.0–89.8)

78.6 (75.2–82.1)

64.3 (59.1–69.5)

92.3 (89.9–94.7)

GRP

0.896 (0.868–0.923)

0.2965

85.0 (80.6–89.5)

78.5 (75.0–81.9)

64.0 (58.8–69.2)

92.1 (89.6–94.5)

SRP

0.898 (0.871–0.925)

0.2940

84.6 (80.1–89.1)

79.6 (76.2–82.9)

65.1 (59.9–70.3)

92.0 (89.5–94.4)

MDS

0.901 (0.874–0.928)

0.3095

83.4 (78.8–88.0)

81.6 (78.3–84.8)

67.1 (61.8–72.4)

91.6 (89.1–94.1)

Isomap

0.888 (0.860–0.917)

0.3468

78.5 (73.4–83.7)

82.7 (79.5–85.8)

67.1 (61.7–72.5)

89.5 (86.9–92.2)

LLE

0.898 (0.870–0.925)

0.3140

85.0 (80.6–89.5)

79.4 (76.0–82.8)

65.0 (59.8–70.2)

92.2 (89.7–94.6)

HEART

0.841 (0.808–0.874)

5

78.9 (73.9–84.0)

72.8 (69.1–76.5)

56.7 (51.4–61.9)

88.5 (85.5–91.4)

TIMI

0.681 (0.639–0.723)

2

63.6 (57.6–69.6)

58.4 (54.3–62.5)

40.8 (35.9–45.7)

78.0 (74.0–82.1)

GRACE

0.665 (0.623–0.707)

107

64.0 (58.0–70.0)

60.8 (56.7–64.9)

42.4 (37.3–47.4)

78.9 (75.0–82.8)

  1. AUC area under the curve, CI confidence interval, PPV positive predictive value, NPV negative predictive value, HEART History, ECG, Age, Risk factors and Troponin, TIMI Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction, GRACE Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events