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Table 1 Model fit statistics for all models

From: Structured expert elicitation to inform long-term survival extrapolations using alternative parametric distributions: a case study of CAR T therapy for relapsed/ refractory multiple myeloma

 

Without experts

With experts

Deviance

Penalty

DIC

Deviance

Penalty

DIC

Exponential

476.61

0.93

477.55

465.23

1.10

466.33

Weibull

472.74

2.09

474.83

460.51

2.14

462.65

Lognormal

476.04

2.08

478.12

468.18

1.88

470.06

Log-logistic

474.82

2.05

476.86

475.01

1.90

476.91

Gamma

473.04

1.91

474.94

460.66

2.04

462.71

Generalized gamma

471.54

2.69

474.23

463.39

3.33

466.72

Gompertz

470.99

1.90

472.89

472.68

1.74

474.42