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Fig. 2 | BMC Medical Research Methodology

Fig. 2

From: Evaluating the sensitivity of jurisdictional heterogeneity and jurisdictional mixing in national level HIV prevention analyses: context of the U.S. ending the HIV epidemic plan

Fig. 2

Comparing annual risk group specific incidence projections between NHSS, National-Model, and Jurisdictional-Model*. NHSS: National HIV Surveillance System; NHSS-National: national level estimates from NHSS; *Using period 2011 to 2019 to validate that National-Model simulated estimates are within range of NHSS estimates; using period 2018 to 2019 to verify that Jurisdictional-Model simulated estimates (from scenarios S1 to S4 †, and S9 to S12‡) generate incidence in magnitudes similar to National-Model estimates; and using period 2020 to 2030 to observe differences between Jurisdictional-Model scenarios S1, S2, S3, S4, S9, S10, S11, and S12. † Scenarios S5, S6, S7, and S8, start at the same baseline (2018) as S1, S2, S3, and S4, respectively. ‡ Scenarios S13, S14, S15, and S16, start at the same baseline (2018) as S9, S10, S11, and S12, respectively

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BMC Medical Research Methodology

ISSN: 1471-2288

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