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Fig. 3 | BMC Medical Research Methodology

Fig. 3

From: Evaluating the sensitivity of jurisdictional heterogeneity and jurisdictional mixing in national level HIV prevention analyses: context of the U.S. ending the HIV epidemic plan

Fig. 3

Comparing annual incidence projections between 16 scenarios simulated in Jurisdictional-Model and NHSS estimates*. NHSS: National HIV Surveillance System; NHSS-National: national level estimates from NHSS. *Using period 2018 to 2019 to verify that Jurisdictional-Model simulated estimates generate incidence in magnitudes similar to NHSS estimates; and using period 2020 to 2030 to observe differences between Jurisdictional-Model scenarios S1 to S16. Scenarios S1 to S8 assume jurisdictional homogeneity; Scenarios S9 to S16 assume jurisdictional heterogeneity; Scenarios S1 to S4 and S9 to S12 assume baseline intervention; Scenarios S5 to S8 and S13 to S16 scale-up interventions as per EHE-plan

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