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Table 4 Summary of validated prediction models

From: External validation of existing dementia prediction models on observational health data

 

Walters models

Mehta model

Nori model

Development database

THIN

CPRD

OptumLabs

Population

Patients aged 60–79

Patients diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus and hypertension

Patients aged 45 and older

Outcome

5-year risk of first recorded dementia diagnosis

Risk of incident dementia

Risk of Alzheimer’s disease and related dementias (ADRD)

Prediction method

Cox proportional hazard

Cox proportional hazard

Logistic regression

Predictor summary

15 predictors including sociodemographic measures, health status measurements, medical diagnoses, prescription medication

26 predictors including demographic measures, medical diagnoses, medical procedures

50 predictors including demographic measures, medical diagnoses, prescription medication, medical procedures