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Table 4 Causal contrast of interest and methods used to address different biases

From: Implementation of the trial emulation approach in medical research: a scoping review

Index

Study

The estimand of interest

The measurement scale of the outcome(s)

The effect size measure used to quantify the causal contrast of interest

The statistical method used for analysing the primary outcome(s)

The statistical method used to adjust for baseline confounders

The statistical method used to account for time-varying confounders

The approach used to address immortal-time bias

The statistical method used to account for potential selection bias due to loss to follow-up

1a (cohort analysis)

Dickerman et al. [24]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

RD

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

IPCW

1b (case–control analysis)

Dickerman et al. [24]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

OR

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Cases and controls were sampled from the assembled cohort

IPCW

2

García-Albéniz et al. [25]

ITT

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

RD

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

3a (the addition of fluorouracil in stage II colorectal cancer)

Petito et al. [26]

PP

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

RD

Pooled logistic

regression

1. Cloning approach + IPCW

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Cloning approach + IPCW

Could not be determined

3b (the use of erlotinib in advanced pancreatic adenocarcinoma)

Petito et al. [26]

PP

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

RD

Pooled logistic

regression

1. Cloning approach + IPCW

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Cloning approach + IPCW

Could not be determined

4

Dickerman et al. [4]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

SD

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Sequential trial emulations approach

IPCW

5

Dickerman et al. [27]

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

RR

RD

PGF

PGF

PGF

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

PGF

6a (single treatment versus no treatment)

Danaei et al. [28]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

SD

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

6b (joint treatment versus no treatment)

Danaei et al. [28]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

SD

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

6c (head-to-head comparison of two treatments)

Danaei et al. [28]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

SD

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

7

Zhang et al. [29]

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

RR

RD

PGF

PGF

PGF

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

PGF

8

Atkinson et al. [30]

PP

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

Pooled logistic regression

1. Cloning approach + IPCW

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Cloning approach + IPCW

Could not be determined

9

Rojas‑Saunero et al. [31]

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

RR

RD

PGF

PGF

PGF

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

PGF

10

Maringe et al. [14]

PP

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

SD

Kaplan–Meier estimator

Cloning approach + IPCW

N.A.

Cloning approach + IPCW

CCA

11

Gilbert et al. [32]

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

12

Caniglia et al. [33]

PPa

(point treatment)

Binary

OR

Logistic regression

IPTW

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

13

Althunian et al. [34]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Outcome regression on the confounders

Could not be determined

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

14

Shaefi et al. [35]

ITTa

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

15a (index trial emulation)

Bacic et al. [36]

ITTa

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

IPTW

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

15b (high risk trial emulation)

Bacic et al. [36]

ITTa

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

IPTW

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

16

Rossides et al. [37]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Binary

RR

RD

TMLE

TMLE

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

TMLE

17

Xie et al. [38]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

1. Cox proportional hazards model (ITT)

2. Pooled logistic regression (PP)

1. GPS (ITT)

2. IPTW (PP)

IPTW

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

18

Caniglia et al. [39]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

RD

Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders

IPTW

Sequential trial emulations approach

IPCW

19

Caniglia et al. [40]

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

SD

Pooled logistic regression

1. Cloning approach + IPCW

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

Cloning approach + IPCW

Cloning approach + IPCW

Could not be determined

20a (historical comparison)

Caniglia et al. [41]

Modified ITT

(treatment regimen)

Binary

RR

1. Log-binomial regression

2. Poisson regression

1. Adjusted for confounders at the design stage

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

IPCW

20b (contemporaneous comparison)

Caniglia et al. [41]

Modified ITT

(treatment regimen)

Binary

RR

1. Log-binomial regression

2. Poisson regression

1. Adjusted for confounders at the design stage

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

IPCW

21

Matthews et al. [42]

ITTa

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

IPTW

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

22

Schmidt et al. [43]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

1. Propensity score matching

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

CCA

23

Al-Samkari et al. [44]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

IPTW

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

24a (test the effect of hypoglycemia among individuals with dementia and diabetes, with respect to subsequent serious adverse events)

Mattishent et al. [45]

PPa

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

1. CCA

2. MI

24b (evaluate whether the effect of hypoglycemia was modified by the presence or absence of dementia)

Mattishent et al. [45]

PPa

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

1. CCA

2. MI

25

Lenain et al. [46]

ITT

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

SD

Kaplan–Meier estimator

Matching on time-dependent propensity score

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

CCA

26

Yiu et al. [47]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Binary

RD

RR

Generalized linear model

1. Propensity score matching

2. IPTW

IPTW

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

1. CCA

2. Nonresponder imputation

3. Last observation carried forward

4. IPCW

5. MI

27

Wanis et al. [48]

ITT

(point treatment)

Time-to-evet

SD

1. Kaplan–Meier estimator

2. Pooled logistic regression

Outcome regression on the confounders (pooled logistic regression)

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

28

Lu et al. [49]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

RD

1. Cox proportional hazards model

2. Weighted Kaplan–Meier estimator

IPTW

IPTW

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

IPCW

29

Lyu et al. [50]

PP

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

HR

RD

Pooled logistic regression

1. Cloning approach + IPCW

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Cloning approach + IPCW

IPCW

30

Russell et al. [51]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

1. Propensity score matching

2. Outcome regression on the confounders

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

31

Takeuchi et al. [52]

ITT

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

IPTW

IPTW

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

32

Abrahami et al. [53]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score methods (adjustment, stratification, fine stratification and matching)

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

33

Secora et al. [54]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Time-to-event Fine and Gray regression model

1. Outcome regression on the confounders

2. IPTW

3. Propensity score matching

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

34a (comparison of partly NRTI-sparing regimens)

Young et al. [55]

ITTa

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Bayesian Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

34b (comparison of fully NRTI-sparing regimens)

Young et al. [55]

ITTa

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Bayesian Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

35

Czaja et al. [56]

ITTa

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

OR

Pooled logistic regression

IPTW

N.A.

Sequential trial emulations approach

Could not be determined

36

Keyhani et al. [57]

PPa

(point treatment)

Time-to-event

RD

Kaplan–Meier estimator

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37a (LEADER)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37b (DECLARE)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37c (EMPA-REG)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37d (CANVAS)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37e (CARMELINA)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37f (TECOS)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37 g (SAVOR- TIMI)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37 h (CAROLINA)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37i (TRITON- TIMI)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

37j (PLATO)

Franklin et al. [58]

ITT

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

HR

Cox proportional hazards model

Propensity score matching

N.A.

Participants assigned to treatment groups at start of follow-up based on their data available at that time

Could not be determined

38

Fu et al. [59]

PP

(treatment regimen)

Time-to-event

RD

Pooled logistic regression

Cloning approach + IPCW

Cloning approach + IPCW

Cloning approach + IPCW

Could not be determined

  1. Abbreviations: ITT Intention-to-treat effect, PP Per-protocol effect, HR Hazard ratio, RD Risk difference, IPTW Inverse probability of treatment weighting, IPWC Inverse probability of censoring weighting, OR Odds ratio, SD Survival difference, RR Risk ratio, PGF Parametric g-formula, CCA Complete case analysis, TMLE Targeted maximum likelihood estimation, GPS Generalised propensity scores, MI Multiple imputation
  2. The symbol ‘a’ indicates that the information is not explicitly stated and was assumed given the methodological details provided