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Table 3 Results of the comparative experiments evaluating overfitting. Per dataset, the least overfitting model (bold) and the models within the 95% CI of the least overfitting model (italics) are highlighted

From: Bayesian parametric models for survival prediction in medical applications

Characteristic

CoxPH N = 47a

DeepSurv N = 47a

BPS Exp N = 47a

BPS Wb N = 47a

BPS WbNN N = 47a

RSF N = 47a

ACTG

C-Index

0.031 [0.005—0.056]

0.096 [0.059—0.131]

0.038 [0.011—0.063]

0.037 [0.007—0.065]

0.043 [0.015—0.074]

0.090 [0.058—0.122]

GBCS

C-Index

0.007 [-0.014—0.029]

0.032 [0.008—0.055]

0.014 [-0.006—0.032]

0.016 [-0.005—0.038]

0.030 [0.010—0.052]

0.053 [0.034—0.074]

PBC

C-Index

0.018 [-0.004—0.040]

0.064 [0.040—0.089]

0.015 [-0.005—0.036]

0.018 [-0.008—0.041]

0.017 [-0.003—0.037]

0.074 [0.053—0.095]

Veteran

C-Index

0.022 [0.002—0.044]

0.063 [0.035—0.089]

0.029 [-0.005—0.062]

0.027 [-0.005—0.056]

0.037 [0.014—0.060]

0.066 [0.034—0.097]

WHAS

C-Index

0.028 [0.004—0.051]

0.039 [0.014—0.066]

0.020 [-0.005—0.046]

0.016 [-0.009—0.040]

0.034 [0.012—0.057]

0.098 [0.071—0.125]

  1. aMean [95% CrI]
  2. least overfitting model
  3. within 95% CI of least overfitting model