Skip to main content

Table 4 Detailed results of model updating vs. full retraining

From: Bayesian parametric models for survival prediction in medical applications

Model

Experiment

C-Indexa,b

% in ROPE

HEquivalence

DeepSurv

ACTG

0.0610 [0.0520—0.0700]

0.0

Rejected

BPS Exp

ACTG

0.0026 [0.0007—0.0045]

100.0

Accepted

BPS Wb

ACTG

0.0023 [0.0006—0.0039]

100.0

Accepted

DeepSurv

GBCS

-0.0004 [-0.0072—0.0062]

100.0

Accepted

BPS Exp

GBCS

0.0046 [0.0030—0.0063]

100.0

Accepted

BPS Wb

GBCS

0.0042 [0.0023—0.0060]

100.0

Accepted

DeepSurv

PBC

0.0260 [0.0190—0.0330]

0.0

Rejected

BPS Exp

PBC

0.0094 [0.0063—0.0130]

68.1

Undecided

BPS Wb

PBC

0.0088 [0.0054—0.0120]

79.6

Undecided

DeepSurv

WHAS

0.0290 [0.0140—0.0430]

0.0

Rejected

BPS Exp

WHAS

0.0052 [0.0046—0.0057]

100.0

Accepted

BPS Wb

WHAS

0.0035 [0.0030—0.0041]

100.0

Accepted

  1. aMedian [98.3% CrI]
  2. bDifference between full re-training and model updating
  3. HEquivalence: Hypothesis that difference in model performance is N = 75