Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TPR | FPR | TPR | FPR | TPR | FPR | |
A. Model 1 (LME with a linear time trend) | ||||||
A.1 Using baseline measures | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 10.0% | 100.0% | 14.0% |
Biomarker 2 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 10.0% | 100.0% | 14.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 | N/A | 6.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 15.0% |
Biomarker 4 | N/A | 6.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 16.0% |
A.2 Using peak measures | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 5.0% | 100.0% | 18.0% |
Biomarker 2 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 5.0% | 100.0% | 17.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 | N/A | 12.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 17.0% |
Biomarker 4 | N/A | 12.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 17.0% |
A.3 Using FPC scores | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 FPC1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 100.0% | 9.0% |
Biomarker 1 FPC2 | 94.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 92.0% | 9.0% |
Biomarker 1 FPC3 | 90.5% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 92.5% | 9.0% |
Biomarker 2 FPC1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 100.0% | 8.5% |
Biomarker 2 FPC2 | 93.5% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 93.5% | 9.0% |
Biomarker 2 FPC3 | 90.5% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 88.0% | 9.0% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 FPC1 | N/A | 3.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 5.5% |
Biomarker 3 FPC2 | N/A | 3.0% | 92.5% | N/A | 91.5% | 5.5% |
Biomarker 3 FPC3 | N/A | 3.5% | 91.0% | N/A | 93.0% | 5.5% |
Biomarker 4 FPC1 | N/A | 3.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 5.5% |
Biomarker 4 FPC2 | N/A | 3.5% | 89.5% | N/A | 93.0% | 5.5% |
Biomarker 4 FPC3 | N/A | 3.5% | 91.5% | N/A | 87.0% | 5.5% |
B. Model 2 (LME with a quadratic term for time) | ||||||
B.1 Using baseline measures | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 21.0% | 99.0% | 15.5% |
Biomarker 2 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 21.0% | 99.0% | 15.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 | N/A | 18.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 17.0% |
Biomarker 4 | N/A | 18.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 17.5% |
B.2 Using peak measures | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 22.0% | 98.0% | 14.0% |
Biomarker 2 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 22.0% | 98.0% | 13.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 | N/A | 17.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 17.5% |
Biomarker 4 | N/A | 17.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 18.0% |
B.3 Using FPC scores | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 FPC1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 98.5% | 12.0% |
Biomarker 1 FPC2 | 98.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 95.0% | 12.0% |
Biomarker 1 FPC3 | 90.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 87.5% | 11.5% |
Biomarker 2 FPC1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 98.5% | 12.0% |
Biomarker 2 FPC2 | 96.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 89.5% | 12.0% |
Biomarker 2 FPC3 | 87.5% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 87.0% | 11.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 FPC1 | N/A | 0.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 10.5% |
Biomarker 3 FPC2 | N/A | 0.5% | 97.0% | N/A | 95.0% | 10.5% |
Biomarker 3 FPC3 | N/A | 0.5% | 90.0% | N/A | 90.0% | 10.5% |
Biomarker 4 FPC1 | N/A | 0.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 10.5% |
Biomarker 4 FPC2 | N/A | 0.5% | 97.0% | N/A | 90.5% | 10.0% |
Biomarker 4 FPC3 | N/A | 0.5% | 89.0% | N/A | 92.5% | 10.5% |
C. Model 3 (LME with a 3-knot spline function for time) | ||||||
C.1 Using baseline measures | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 5.5% | 98.5% | 16.5% |
Biomarker 2 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 5.5% | 98.5% | 17.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 | N/A | 5.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 16.0% |
Biomarker 4 | N/A | 5.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 16.0% |
C.2 Using peak measures | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 5.0% | 99.5% | 41.5% |
Biomarker 2 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 5.0% | 99.5% | 40.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 | N/A | 10.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 40.5% |
Biomarker 4 | N/A | 10.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 40.5% |
C.3 Using FPC scores | ||||||
Group 1 | ||||||
Biomarker 1 FPC1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 99.0% | 9.0% |
Biomarker 1 FPC2 | 95.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 89.5% | 8.5% |
Biomarker 1 FPC3 | 91.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 89.0% | 8.5% |
Biomarker 2 FPC1 | 100.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 99.0% | 8.5% |
Biomarker 2 FPC2 | 94.0% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 93.5% | 8.5% |
Biomarker 2 FPC3 | 95.5% | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 90.5% | 8.5% |
Group 2 | ||||||
Biomarker 3 FPC1 | N/A | 3.5% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 8.0% |
Biomarker 3 FPC2 | N/A | 4.0% | 94.5% | N/A | 93.5% | 8.0% |
Biomarker 3 FPC3 | N/A | 4.0% | 88.5% | N/A | 88.5% | 8.0% |
Biomarker 4 FPC1 | N/A | 4.0% | 100.0% | N/A | 100.0% | 8.0% |
Biomarker 4 FPC2 | N/A | 4.0% | 96.5% | N/A | 92.5% | 7.5% |
Biomarker 4 FPC3 | N/A | 4.0% | 88.0% | N/A | 88.5% | 7.5% |