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Table 4 Scenario (II): performance of the estimated propensity score (PS) model by simulation setting assuming n = 200

From: Treatment effect estimation using the propensity score in clinical trials with historical control

Performance measurement

PS model

Outcome event rate

Odds ratio

1.0

2.0

5.0

10.0

Bias

\(\pi\) (without \(X_\textit{r}\))

50%

0.168

0.164

0.168

0.224

10%

0.032

0.132

0.177

0.268

5%

-0.908

-0.106

0.516

1.758

\({\pi }^{*}\) (with \({X}_{{\text{r}}}\))

50%

0.050

0.050

0.060

0.126

10%

-0.096

0.011

0.077

0.187

5%

-0.989

-0.203

0.447

1.750

MSE

\(\pi\)

50%

0.144

0.151

0.202

0.862

10%

1.686

0.459

0.326

1.431

5%

19.574

6.274

7.605

27.879

\({\pi }^{*}\)

50%

0.174

0.193

0.261

0.880

10%

1.640

0.532

0.421

1.584

5%

18.505

6.120

8.210

29.796

Coverage (%)

\(\pi\)

50%

92.4

94.0

95.2

95.8

10%

93.9

94.2

95.1

96.6

5%

89.8

94.6

95.5

88.4

\({\pi }^{*}\)

50%

94.5

94.0

93.6

94.0

10%

94.0

94.0

93.9

93.7

5%

90.0

93.4

93.4

86.8

Type I error and power (%)

\(\pi\)

50%

7.5

68.6

99.9

100.0

10%

6.0

39.1

93.1

99.5

5%

10.2

25.2

72.3

92.3

\({\pi }^{*}\)

50%

5.4

44.4

94.1

98.7

10%

5.9

26.6

81.1

96.2

5%

9.9

20.7

98.8

99.9

  1. \(\pi\) (without \(X_\textit{r}\)): the conventional method, \({\pi }^{*}\) (with \(X_\textit{r}\)): the proposed method