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Table 1 Features of selected approaches to analysis of HTE

From: From concepts, theory, and evidence of heterogeneity of treatment effects to methodological approaches: a primer

 

Meta-analysis

CART

N of 1 trials

LGM/GMM*

QTE**

Nonparametric

Predictive risk models

Intent of HTE Analysis

· Exploratory and confirmatory

· Exploratory

· Exploratory and initial testing

· Exploratory, initial testing, and confirmatory

· Exploratory, initial testing, and confirmatory

· Exploratory and confirmatory

· Initial testing and confirmatory

Data Structure

· Trial summary results, possibly with subgroup results

· Panel or cross-section

· Repeated measures for a single patient: time series

· Time series and panel

· Panel and cross-sectional

· Panel, time series, and cross-sectional

· Panel or cross-sectional

Data Size Consideration

· Advantage of combining small sample sizes

· Large sample sizes

· Small sample sizes

· LGM: small to large sample sizes

· Moderate to large sample sizes

· Large sample sizes

· Sample sizes depends on specific risk function

    

· GMM: Large sample sizes

   

Key Strength(s)

· Increase statistical power by pooling of results

· Does not require assumptions around normality of distribution

· Patient is own control

· Accounting for unobserved characteristics

· Robust to outcome outliers

· No functional form assumptions

· Multivariate approach to identifying risk factors or HTE

   

· Estimates patient-specific effects

    
     

· Heterogeneous response across quantiles

· Flexible regressions

 
    

·Heterogeneous response across time

   
 

· Possible to identify HTE across trials

· Can utilize different types of response variables

     
 

· Possibility to measure and explain covariate's effect on treatment effect

      

Key Limitation(s)

· Included studies need to be similar enough to be meaningful

· Fairly sensitive to changes in underlying data

· Requires de novo study

· Criteria for optimization solutions not clear

· Treatment effect designed for a quantile, not a specific patient

·Computationally demanding

· May be more or less interpretable or useful clinically

   

· Not applicable to all conditions or treatments

  

· Smoothing parameters required for kernel methods

 
  

· May not fully identify additive impacts of multiple variables

     
 

· Assumed distribution

      
 

· Selection bias

      
  1. * LGM/GMM: Latent growth modeling/Growth mixture modeling.
  2. **QTE: Quantile treatment effect.