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Table 5 Comparison of performance of the different criteria with regards the probability and the opportunity cost associated with adopting a treatment that does not have highest true NMB. The values shown in bold represent the most favourable of all criteria for this measure

From: Which interactions matter in economic evaluations? A systematic review and simulation study

Criterion

Proportion of samples in which interactions are included: % (n)a

Sensitivity: proportion of any non-zero interactions taken into account: % (n)b

Specificity: proportion of interactions equal to 0 that are excluded: % (n)c

Mean opportunity cost of adopting a suboptimal treatment

Probability of adopting treatment with highest NMB

1: Always include all interactions

100.00% (21,600)

100.00% (14,400)

0.00% (0)

£472

81.70%

2: Never include any interactions

0.00% (0)

0.00% (0)

100.00% (7200)

£793

76.60%

3: Include interactions where p < 0.05

34.44% (7439)

46.59% (6709)

89.86% (6470)

£556

80.61%

4: Include interactions where p < 0.10

44.86% (9689)

56.87% (8189)

79.17% (5700)

£515

81.32%

5: Include interactions where p < 0.25

68.45% (14,785)

77.18% (11,114)

49.01% (3529)

£491

81.58%

6: Include interactions decreasing AIC

40.74% (8800)

52.91% (7619)

83.60% (6019)

£529

81.11%

7: Include interactions decreasing BIC

19.79% (4275)

28.88% (4158)

98.38% (7083)

£646

78.32%

8: Include qualitative interactions in cost or benefits

42.02% (9076)

47.54% (6846)

69.03% (4970)

£503

81.71%

9: Include interactions for cost or benefits if >simple effect

56.04% (12,104)

63.77% (9183)

59.43% (4279)

£474

83.31%

10: Include interactions for cost or benefits if p < 0.05 or > simple effect

61.78% (13,344)

71.42% (10,285)

57.51% (4141)

£475

83.14%

11: Include qualitative interactions for cost, benefits or NMB

57.01% (12,314)

60.76% (8749)

50.49% (3635)

£480

81.21%

12: Include interactions for cost, benefit or NMB if >simple effect

67.85% (14,656)

73.40% (10,569)

43.24% (3113)

£475

81.55%

13: Include interactions ≥0.25 or ≥ £250

31.92% (6894)

37.02% (5331)

78.29% (5637)

£472

81.22%

14: Include interactions ≥0.5 or ≥ £500

21.73% (4694)

24.69% (3555)

84.18% (6061)

£476

82.33%

15: Include interactions ≥1 or ≥ £1000

16.65% (3596)

18.51% (2666)

87.08% (6270)

£488

82.01%

  1. Abbreviations: AIC Akaike information criterion, BIC Bayesian information criterion, NMB net monetary benefit, QALY quality-adjusted life-year
  2. a Percentages are out of 21,600 (300 samples of 6 trials, each with six scenarios across two endpoints [costs and QALYs])
  3. b Percentages are out of 14,400 (300 samples of 6 trials, each with four scenarios with non-zero interactions across two endpoints [costs and QALYs])
  4. c Percentages are out of 7200 (300 samples of 6 trials, each with two scenarios with zero interactions across two endpoints [costs and QALYs])